Basketball Parlay
2021年7月24日Register here: http://gg.gg/vhz52
*$100 Parlay to win $250 on the Patriots -3.5 (1st Half)/Patriots -7 (Game) $100 Parlay to win $250 on the Lions +3.5 (1st Half)/Lions +7 (Game) Now obviously one of these wagers is going to lose, but that’s ok! Our goal here is just to win however many parlays we need to in order to turn a profit.
*Richmond -4.5 Va tech +4 Chattanooga -5 Tennessee -8.5 Inc word +7 GLA!!! Learn more at Covers Forum.
*NCAA college basketball consensus picks are compiled by a variety of sources and a weighted result for the game comes from those sources. These consensus picks come from some of the sharpest minds in college basketball betting but aren’t always correct.
The best free college basketball picks as well as parlays for all of today’s games. All of our expert NCAA basketball predictions are against the spread. (ATS) This page will be updated several times though out the day so please bookmark this page and check back daily.
San Jose State Spartans vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, 2/8/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 2/7/2021
NBA Picks and Parlays – Among sports bettors, only football is more popular than basketball. Like football, the most common hoops wagers are point spread bets. The early history of basketball has some ties to sports betting. In the early 1950′s, there was a major point-shaving scandal in college basketball involving the University of Kentucky.
The San Jose State Spartans are set to meet the San Diego State Aztecs at Viejas Arena on Monday, February 8, 2021. San Jose State opens this contest as 26-point dogs. The O/U is set at 145.5. This games report has current odds, betting trends, and free picks against the spread.
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Kansas Jayhawks Prediction, 2/8/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 2/7/2021
The Oklahoma State Cowboys are set to take on the Kansas Jayhawks at Allen Fieldhouse on Monday, February 8, 2021. Kansas opens this game as 5-point favorites. The total is set at 140. This matchup report includes odds, betting trends and a free pick against the spread.
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Minnesota Golden Gophers Prediction, 2/8/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 2/7/2021
The Nebraska Cornhuskers are set to go head to head with the Minnesota Golden Gophers at Williams Arena on Monday, February 8, 2021. The line on this matchup has Minnesota as 11.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 148. This matchup report has Vegas lines and an expert NCAA basketball pick for your daily winner.
Oregon State Beavers vs Colorado Buffaloes Prediction, 2/8/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 2/7/2021
The Oregon State Beavers are on the docket to meet the Colorado Buffaloes at CU Events Center on Monday, February 8, 2021. Oregon State opens this game as 12-point underdogs. The total is set at 136.5. This report includes betting odds and our expert college basketball picks for todays game.
Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Runnin’ Rebels Prediction, 2/8/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 2/7/2021
The Air Force Falcons are on the docket to go head to head with the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels at Thomas & Mack Center on Monday, February 8, 2021. The spread on this game has UNLV as 13-point favorites. The total opens at 130. This Matchup report includes Vegas odds and a free basketball pick for tonight.
Miami Hurricanes vs North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction, 2/8/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 2/7/2021
Northern quest casino. The Miami Hurricanes are scheduled to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels at Dean E. Smith Center on Monday, February 8, 2021. North Carolina opens this contest as 10-point favorites. The O/U is set at 141. This matchup report includes betting lines and our pick of the day for this game.
Ohio State Buckeyes vs Maryland Terrapins Prediction, 2/8/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 2/7/2021
The Ohio State Buckeyes are on the docket to take on the Maryland Terrapins at XFINITY Center on Monday, February 8, 2021. Maryland opens this matchup as 4-point dogs. The total has been set at 138. This report has odds and your college basketball predictions for todays game against the spread.
SMU Mustangs vs East Carolina Pirates Prediction, 2/8/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Parlay’s Pundit - 2/7/2021
The SMU Mustangs are on the docket to take on the East Carolina Pirates at Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum on Monday, February 8, 2021. The spread on this matchup has SMU as 5.5-point favorites. The total is set at 140. We have included an expert college basketball pick and parlay for todays game ATS.
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs BYU Cougars Prediction, 2/8/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Parlay’s Pundit - 2/7/2021
The Gonzaga Bulldogs are scheduled to go head to head with the BYU Cougars at Marriott Center on Monday, February 8, 2021. BYU opens this matchup as 11.5-point underdogs. The total opens at 157. We have included an expert pick and parlay for todays game against the spread.
Iowa Hawkeyes vs Indiana Hoosiers Prediction, 2/7/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 2/6/2021
The Iowa Hawkeyes are on the docket to go head to head with the Indiana Hoosiers at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall on Sunday, February 7, 2021. Iowa opens this game as 2.5-point favorites. The over/under opens at 153. This matchup report includes odds, betting trends and a free pick against the spread. New casino sites uk.
Boise State Broncos vs Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction, 2/7/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 2/6/2021
The Boise State Broncos are on the docket to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack at Lawlor Events Center on Sunday, February 7, 2021. Nevada opens this matchup as 3-point dogs. The total has been set at 144.5. This Matchup report includes Vegas odds and a free basketball pick for tonight.
Cincinnati Bearcats vs Tulane Green Wave Prediction, 2/7/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 2/6/2021
The Cincinnati Bearcats are on the docket to take on the Tulane Green Wave at Avron B. Fogelman Arena in the Devlin Fieldhouse on Sunday, February 7, 2021. Cincinnati opens this matchup as 5.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 135. This report includes betting odds and our expert college basketball picks for todays game.
Temple Owls vs Wichita State Shockers Prediction, 2/7/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 2/6/2021
The Temple Owls are on the docket to play the Wichita State Shockers at Charles Koch Arena on Sunday, February 7, 2021. The line on this contest has Wichita State as 8-point favorites. The O/U opens at 138.5. This matchup report includes betting lines and our pick of the day for this game.
Georgetown Hoyas vs Villanova Wildcats Prediction, 2/7/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Parlay’s Pundit - 2/6/2021
The Georgetown Hoyas are on the docket to go head to head with the Villanova Wildcats at Finneran Pavilion on Sunday, February 7, 2021. The spread on this contest has Villanova as 13-point favorites. The O/U is set at 141.5. We have included an expert pick and parlay for todays game against the spread.
California Golden Bears vs Stanford Cardinal Prediction, 2/7/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 2/6/2021
The California Golden Bears are scheduled to go head to head with the Stanford Cardinal at Maples Pavilion on Sunday, February 7, 2021. The spread on this matchup has Stanford as 11.5-point favorites. The over/under opens at 132.5. This games report has current odds, betting trends, and free picks against the spread.
Creighton Bluejays vs Marquette Golden Eagles Prediction, 2/6/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Parlay’s Pundit - 2/5/2021
The Creighton Bluejays are scheduled to meet the Marquette Golden Eagles at Fiserv Forum on Saturday, February 6, 2021. The line on this game has Creighton as 5-point favorites. The O/U is set at 147. We have included an expert college basketball pick and parlay for todays game ATS.
Iowa State Cyclones vs Oklahoma Sooners Prediction, 2/6/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Parlay’s Pundit - 2/5/2021
The Iowa State Cyclones are on the docket to take on the Oklahoma Sooners at Lloyd Noble Center on Saturday, February 6, 2021. Oklahoma opens this game as 14.5-point favorites. The total opens at 141. We have included an expert college basketball pick and parlay for todays game ATS.
UCLA Bruins vs USC Trojans Prediction, 2/6/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 2/5/2021
The UCLA Bruins are on the docket to play the USC Trojans at Galen Center on Saturday, February 6, 2021. USC opens this game as 3.5-point favorites. The total is set at 135. This report has odds and your college basketball predictions for todays game against the spread.
Arizona Wildcats vs Colorado Buffaloes Prediction, 2/6/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 2/5/2021
The Arizona Wildcats are scheduled to meet the Colorado Buffaloes at CU Events Center on Saturday, February 6, 2021. The line on this contest has Colorado as 5-point favorites. The O/U opens at 143. This games report has current odds, betting trends, and free picks against the spread.
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction, 2/6/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 2/5/2021
The Nebraska Cornhuskers are scheduled to go head to head with the Michigan State Spartans at Breslin Center on Saturday, February 6, 2021. Michigan State opens this contest as 10-point favorites. The over/under opens at 144.5. This matchup report includes betting lines and our pick of the day for this game.1 234567891011 .. 539 | Next >>
Please note that the college basketball picks above for tonights games are not computer based predictions. All of these articles are written by our talented staff. If you have any comments or suggestions please email service@docsports.com
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Many novice bettors are told to stick only to straight bets. That’s because they don’t do the work or research to make wise investments with teasers and parlays. You too may have been told that parlay wagers are considered sucker bets. That’s not accurate at all. There are several instances where betting parlays is a profitable proposition.
Now, that doesn’t mean you should just throw any two or more teams that you like together into a teaser or a parlay. You have to use a different strategy. This article is going to cover some solid parlay situations where you can KILL a book that allows you to make certain combinations (Check out our teaser guide to see what we mean for each of the different sports).Correlated Parlays: What They Are Explained & How to Find Them
There’s a lot that goes into making a strong parlay bet. First things first, you need to make sure you understand how parlays work. That’s just the start, there’s more advanced stuff like when is the right time to hedge your bets.
I’m not going to get into all of that today. Instead, I’m going to introduce to you what a correlated parlay is. I’ll explain exactly what it is and how to find them.Definition
I’m going to keep it simple. A correlated parlay is a wager in which you have two bets that are tied together. If one of the wagers wins, your chances of winning the second bet increases. Most sports books are not going to accept these types of wagers because if they did, they wouldn’t stay in business very long.Are they Profitable?
So what would it take for a correlated parlay to be profitable? If you are hooking up two teams the payout is typically 2.5-to-1. That means that you have to win 28.6% of your two teamers to turn a profit. That is figured by the return of 3.5 divided by your risk which is 1.
Now a few books like 5Dimes will give you a 2.64-to-1 payout. In that case, you only have to win 27.5% of your two-team parlays in order to turn a profit.
Let’s assume one side of your parlays hits at 50% of the time. How probable does the second event need to be in order for the parlay to be to your advantage? For the typical two-team parlay payout it needs to be 57.2% (.572 * .5 = 2.86). If your payout is 2.64-to-1 then it’s 55% (.55 * .5 = .275).
Now let’s look at situations where if one leg of the parlay wins, the other wins at more than a 57.2% clip. There are several different types of these wagers. I’m going to cover two of the most basic ones in this article.Why You Can’t Parlay First Half with Full Game Odds
First, we are going to look at the correlation between the first half spread and the spread for the game. Next, we will look at the correlation of betting the spread and total on the same game.
If a team covers the first-half spread of a game, how often do they also cover the point spread for the entire game? If you know the team that covers the first half line is more likely to cover for the game, you can parlay those wagers and make a killing, right?
That is exactly the question I wanted to answer, and I was pretty impressed by the results.
First things first, I want everyone to understand that I am aware that no online or Vegas sportsbooks (that I know of) allow correlated parlays. This article is more about why correlated first half parlays aren’t allowed, however, if you have a local book happens to allow them, you can most definitely use this information to your advantage, that is, until your book cuts you off!Why it is Profitable
What exactly is a correlated first half/full game parlay? You are looking to bet the first half and the full game on the same team. Either the favorite or the underdog. You can do both, but that will appear pretty obvious and likely to get you cut off sooner.
I’ve provided the hard numbers for the NFL and NBA below, but let’s just talk about the method behind the madness first. We are going to use typical two-team parlay odds, which pay 2.5-to-1 (or bet $100 to win $250). We will also use $100 as the base bet amount to make things as easy to understand as possible.
Let’s say the Patriots are favored in a game against the Lions by 7 points. In the first half, they are likely to be 3.5-4 point favorites. Our bets for this game would be:
*$100 Parlay to win $250 on the Patriots -3.5 (1st Half)/Patriots -7 (Game)
*$100 Parlay to win $250 on the Lions +3.5 (1st Half)/Lions +7 (Game)
Now obviously one of these wagers is going to lose, but that’s ok! Our goal here is just to win however many parlays we need to in order to turn a profit. Let’s say you decide you are going to bet correlated parlays on five games on a Sunday, how many parlays would you need to hit in order to turn a profit?
The worst you can perform and still turn a profit is to go 3-7 (30%) on the night. Here’s the math:
*7 Losses x $100 = $700
*3 Wins x $250 = $750
*Total Profit = $50
Now, based on an uncorrelated two-team parlay, you are only expected to win 25% of your bets (50% chance to win each = 25% chance to win both). This makes sense – otherwise, everyone would just win truck loads of money by betting parlays.
The secret here is to increase our chances of winning the second piece of the parlay. That’s where the correlation between the first half line and the game line come in. When teams cover the first half line, they have better than a 50% of covering the line for the game, right? Logic would tell us that they would, however, hard data is even better.Historical Data from the NFL and NBA
NFL
*Favorite Covers Both 1st Half and Game Line: 73.3%
*Underdog Covers Both 1st Half and Game Line: 76.7%
NBA
*Favorite Covers Both 1st Half and Game Line: 70.1%
*Underdog Covers Both 1st Half and Game Line: 69.8%
In all of these situations, if the team covers the first half line, they are much more likely to cover the game line. For example, using NFL favorites, you are given the standard 50% chance to win the first half, but then a 73.3% chance to win the game, meaning you have about a 36.6% chance of winning your parlay.
Since you only need to hit 30% of your parlays (28.6%, to be exact) to turn a profit, these bets are a no-brainer! In fact, if you can increase your chance of winning the second bet in your parlay by 7% (so up to 57%), you should make a profit over time.
Let’s look at the expected return. Let’s just say you hit 75% in the NFL and 70% in the NBA to keep it simple. So .5 *.75 = .375 means 37.5% of the time you win $250. You lose $100 62.5% of the time. Your expected profit would be 93.75 (.375 * 250) – 62.50 (.625 * 100) for $31.25 for every $100 bet. Now if the number is 70% in the NBA you get .5 * .7 = .35. 35% of the time you’d win $250 and 65% of the time you’d lose $100. (.35 * 250) – (.65 * 100) = 87.50 – 65.00 for $22.50 of profit for every $100 bet.
You can now see why sportsbooks won’t allow you to bet parlays on the first half and game of most major sporting events. If bettors were allowed to wager on these, they would soon be out of business, as you are nearly guaranteed to make a profit over time with this method.
Of course, there may be some local books out there that aren’t aware of this, so don’t be afraid to ask around and see if there’s a sucker out there willing to take these bets!Why No Same Game Parlays in Football? They Are Correlated
I took a look at the four major spread sports and ran the numbers. I was trying to find any situations where if a favorite or underdog covered and the total hit more than 57.2% of the time. Here is what I found.College Football
I went back to the last 3,732 games a favorite covered the spread. What I found was the over had a record of 1,959-1,773 (52.5%). In the 3,361 games when the team a field goal or more favorite the over was 1,793-1,568 (53.3%). If the team was laying a touchdown or more the over was 1,328-1,082 (55.1%).
The over percentages started picking up when we look at double digit favorites. The over then hit 57.4% of the time on a record of 1,090-808. When a favorite of two touchdowns or more covers the over went 838-582 (59%). A 20+ point favorite covering leads to a 547-321 record for the over (63%).Basketball Parlay Picks
When a team 28+ point favorite covers the over has hit 261-122 (68.1%) of the time. When you stretch the line out to 30 point favorites or higher the number jumps up to 216-92 (70.1%).
If a team a 35 points or more chalk and covers the over went 127-51 (71.3%). There have only been 95 favorites of 40+ points in recent years with a lined total. In those games, if the favorite covers the over was 65-29 (69.1%).
If instead of looking at the hard numbers you go with percentages
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*$100 Parlay to win $250 on the Patriots -3.5 (1st Half)/Patriots -7 (Game) $100 Parlay to win $250 on the Lions +3.5 (1st Half)/Lions +7 (Game) Now obviously one of these wagers is going to lose, but that’s ok! Our goal here is just to win however many parlays we need to in order to turn a profit.
*Richmond -4.5 Va tech +4 Chattanooga -5 Tennessee -8.5 Inc word +7 GLA!!! Learn more at Covers Forum.
*NCAA college basketball consensus picks are compiled by a variety of sources and a weighted result for the game comes from those sources. These consensus picks come from some of the sharpest minds in college basketball betting but aren’t always correct.
The best free college basketball picks as well as parlays for all of today’s games. All of our expert NCAA basketball predictions are against the spread. (ATS) This page will be updated several times though out the day so please bookmark this page and check back daily.
San Jose State Spartans vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, 2/8/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 2/7/2021
NBA Picks and Parlays – Among sports bettors, only football is more popular than basketball. Like football, the most common hoops wagers are point spread bets. The early history of basketball has some ties to sports betting. In the early 1950′s, there was a major point-shaving scandal in college basketball involving the University of Kentucky.
The San Jose State Spartans are set to meet the San Diego State Aztecs at Viejas Arena on Monday, February 8, 2021. San Jose State opens this contest as 26-point dogs. The O/U is set at 145.5. This games report has current odds, betting trends, and free picks against the spread.
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Kansas Jayhawks Prediction, 2/8/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 2/7/2021
The Oklahoma State Cowboys are set to take on the Kansas Jayhawks at Allen Fieldhouse on Monday, February 8, 2021. Kansas opens this game as 5-point favorites. The total is set at 140. This matchup report includes odds, betting trends and a free pick against the spread.
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Minnesota Golden Gophers Prediction, 2/8/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 2/7/2021
The Nebraska Cornhuskers are set to go head to head with the Minnesota Golden Gophers at Williams Arena on Monday, February 8, 2021. The line on this matchup has Minnesota as 11.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 148. This matchup report has Vegas lines and an expert NCAA basketball pick for your daily winner.
Oregon State Beavers vs Colorado Buffaloes Prediction, 2/8/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 2/7/2021
The Oregon State Beavers are on the docket to meet the Colorado Buffaloes at CU Events Center on Monday, February 8, 2021. Oregon State opens this game as 12-point underdogs. The total is set at 136.5. This report includes betting odds and our expert college basketball picks for todays game.
Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Runnin’ Rebels Prediction, 2/8/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 2/7/2021
The Air Force Falcons are on the docket to go head to head with the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels at Thomas & Mack Center on Monday, February 8, 2021. The spread on this game has UNLV as 13-point favorites. The total opens at 130. This Matchup report includes Vegas odds and a free basketball pick for tonight.
Miami Hurricanes vs North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction, 2/8/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 2/7/2021
Northern quest casino. The Miami Hurricanes are scheduled to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels at Dean E. Smith Center on Monday, February 8, 2021. North Carolina opens this contest as 10-point favorites. The O/U is set at 141. This matchup report includes betting lines and our pick of the day for this game.
Ohio State Buckeyes vs Maryland Terrapins Prediction, 2/8/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 2/7/2021
The Ohio State Buckeyes are on the docket to take on the Maryland Terrapins at XFINITY Center on Monday, February 8, 2021. Maryland opens this matchup as 4-point dogs. The total has been set at 138. This report has odds and your college basketball predictions for todays game against the spread.
SMU Mustangs vs East Carolina Pirates Prediction, 2/8/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Parlay’s Pundit - 2/7/2021
The SMU Mustangs are on the docket to take on the East Carolina Pirates at Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum on Monday, February 8, 2021. The spread on this matchup has SMU as 5.5-point favorites. The total is set at 140. We have included an expert college basketball pick and parlay for todays game ATS.
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs BYU Cougars Prediction, 2/8/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Parlay’s Pundit - 2/7/2021
The Gonzaga Bulldogs are scheduled to go head to head with the BYU Cougars at Marriott Center on Monday, February 8, 2021. BYU opens this matchup as 11.5-point underdogs. The total opens at 157. We have included an expert pick and parlay for todays game against the spread.
Iowa Hawkeyes vs Indiana Hoosiers Prediction, 2/7/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 2/6/2021
The Iowa Hawkeyes are on the docket to go head to head with the Indiana Hoosiers at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall on Sunday, February 7, 2021. Iowa opens this game as 2.5-point favorites. The over/under opens at 153. This matchup report includes odds, betting trends and a free pick against the spread. New casino sites uk.
Boise State Broncos vs Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction, 2/7/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 2/6/2021
The Boise State Broncos are on the docket to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack at Lawlor Events Center on Sunday, February 7, 2021. Nevada opens this matchup as 3-point dogs. The total has been set at 144.5. This Matchup report includes Vegas odds and a free basketball pick for tonight.
Cincinnati Bearcats vs Tulane Green Wave Prediction, 2/7/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 2/6/2021
The Cincinnati Bearcats are on the docket to take on the Tulane Green Wave at Avron B. Fogelman Arena in the Devlin Fieldhouse on Sunday, February 7, 2021. Cincinnati opens this matchup as 5.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 135. This report includes betting odds and our expert college basketball picks for todays game.
Temple Owls vs Wichita State Shockers Prediction, 2/7/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 2/6/2021
The Temple Owls are on the docket to play the Wichita State Shockers at Charles Koch Arena on Sunday, February 7, 2021. The line on this contest has Wichita State as 8-point favorites. The O/U opens at 138.5. This matchup report includes betting lines and our pick of the day for this game.
Georgetown Hoyas vs Villanova Wildcats Prediction, 2/7/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Parlay’s Pundit - 2/6/2021
The Georgetown Hoyas are on the docket to go head to head with the Villanova Wildcats at Finneran Pavilion on Sunday, February 7, 2021. The spread on this contest has Villanova as 13-point favorites. The O/U is set at 141.5. We have included an expert pick and parlay for todays game against the spread.
California Golden Bears vs Stanford Cardinal Prediction, 2/7/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 2/6/2021
The California Golden Bears are scheduled to go head to head with the Stanford Cardinal at Maples Pavilion on Sunday, February 7, 2021. The spread on this matchup has Stanford as 11.5-point favorites. The over/under opens at 132.5. This games report has current odds, betting trends, and free picks against the spread.
Creighton Bluejays vs Marquette Golden Eagles Prediction, 2/6/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Parlay’s Pundit - 2/5/2021
The Creighton Bluejays are scheduled to meet the Marquette Golden Eagles at Fiserv Forum on Saturday, February 6, 2021. The line on this game has Creighton as 5-point favorites. The O/U is set at 147. We have included an expert college basketball pick and parlay for todays game ATS.
Iowa State Cyclones vs Oklahoma Sooners Prediction, 2/6/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Parlay’s Pundit - 2/5/2021
The Iowa State Cyclones are on the docket to take on the Oklahoma Sooners at Lloyd Noble Center on Saturday, February 6, 2021. Oklahoma opens this game as 14.5-point favorites. The total opens at 141. We have included an expert college basketball pick and parlay for todays game ATS.
UCLA Bruins vs USC Trojans Prediction, 2/6/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 2/5/2021
The UCLA Bruins are on the docket to play the USC Trojans at Galen Center on Saturday, February 6, 2021. USC opens this game as 3.5-point favorites. The total is set at 135. This report has odds and your college basketball predictions for todays game against the spread.
Arizona Wildcats vs Colorado Buffaloes Prediction, 2/6/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 2/5/2021
The Arizona Wildcats are scheduled to meet the Colorado Buffaloes at CU Events Center on Saturday, February 6, 2021. The line on this contest has Colorado as 5-point favorites. The O/U opens at 143. This games report has current odds, betting trends, and free picks against the spread.
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction, 2/6/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 2/5/2021
The Nebraska Cornhuskers are scheduled to go head to head with the Michigan State Spartans at Breslin Center on Saturday, February 6, 2021. Michigan State opens this contest as 10-point favorites. The over/under opens at 144.5. This matchup report includes betting lines and our pick of the day for this game.1 234567891011 .. 539 | Next >>
Please note that the college basketball picks above for tonights games are not computer based predictions. All of these articles are written by our talented staff. If you have any comments or suggestions please email service@docsports.com
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Many novice bettors are told to stick only to straight bets. That’s because they don’t do the work or research to make wise investments with teasers and parlays. You too may have been told that parlay wagers are considered sucker bets. That’s not accurate at all. There are several instances where betting parlays is a profitable proposition.
Now, that doesn’t mean you should just throw any two or more teams that you like together into a teaser or a parlay. You have to use a different strategy. This article is going to cover some solid parlay situations where you can KILL a book that allows you to make certain combinations (Check out our teaser guide to see what we mean for each of the different sports).Correlated Parlays: What They Are Explained & How to Find Them
There’s a lot that goes into making a strong parlay bet. First things first, you need to make sure you understand how parlays work. That’s just the start, there’s more advanced stuff like when is the right time to hedge your bets.
I’m not going to get into all of that today. Instead, I’m going to introduce to you what a correlated parlay is. I’ll explain exactly what it is and how to find them.Definition
I’m going to keep it simple. A correlated parlay is a wager in which you have two bets that are tied together. If one of the wagers wins, your chances of winning the second bet increases. Most sports books are not going to accept these types of wagers because if they did, they wouldn’t stay in business very long.Are they Profitable?
So what would it take for a correlated parlay to be profitable? If you are hooking up two teams the payout is typically 2.5-to-1. That means that you have to win 28.6% of your two teamers to turn a profit. That is figured by the return of 3.5 divided by your risk which is 1.
Now a few books like 5Dimes will give you a 2.64-to-1 payout. In that case, you only have to win 27.5% of your two-team parlays in order to turn a profit.
Let’s assume one side of your parlays hits at 50% of the time. How probable does the second event need to be in order for the parlay to be to your advantage? For the typical two-team parlay payout it needs to be 57.2% (.572 * .5 = 2.86). If your payout is 2.64-to-1 then it’s 55% (.55 * .5 = .275).
Now let’s look at situations where if one leg of the parlay wins, the other wins at more than a 57.2% clip. There are several different types of these wagers. I’m going to cover two of the most basic ones in this article.Why You Can’t Parlay First Half with Full Game Odds
First, we are going to look at the correlation between the first half spread and the spread for the game. Next, we will look at the correlation of betting the spread and total on the same game.
If a team covers the first-half spread of a game, how often do they also cover the point spread for the entire game? If you know the team that covers the first half line is more likely to cover for the game, you can parlay those wagers and make a killing, right?
That is exactly the question I wanted to answer, and I was pretty impressed by the results.
First things first, I want everyone to understand that I am aware that no online or Vegas sportsbooks (that I know of) allow correlated parlays. This article is more about why correlated first half parlays aren’t allowed, however, if you have a local book happens to allow them, you can most definitely use this information to your advantage, that is, until your book cuts you off!Why it is Profitable
What exactly is a correlated first half/full game parlay? You are looking to bet the first half and the full game on the same team. Either the favorite or the underdog. You can do both, but that will appear pretty obvious and likely to get you cut off sooner.
I’ve provided the hard numbers for the NFL and NBA below, but let’s just talk about the method behind the madness first. We are going to use typical two-team parlay odds, which pay 2.5-to-1 (or bet $100 to win $250). We will also use $100 as the base bet amount to make things as easy to understand as possible.
Let’s say the Patriots are favored in a game against the Lions by 7 points. In the first half, they are likely to be 3.5-4 point favorites. Our bets for this game would be:
*$100 Parlay to win $250 on the Patriots -3.5 (1st Half)/Patriots -7 (Game)
*$100 Parlay to win $250 on the Lions +3.5 (1st Half)/Lions +7 (Game)
Now obviously one of these wagers is going to lose, but that’s ok! Our goal here is just to win however many parlays we need to in order to turn a profit. Let’s say you decide you are going to bet correlated parlays on five games on a Sunday, how many parlays would you need to hit in order to turn a profit?
The worst you can perform and still turn a profit is to go 3-7 (30%) on the night. Here’s the math:
*7 Losses x $100 = $700
*3 Wins x $250 = $750
*Total Profit = $50
Now, based on an uncorrelated two-team parlay, you are only expected to win 25% of your bets (50% chance to win each = 25% chance to win both). This makes sense – otherwise, everyone would just win truck loads of money by betting parlays.
The secret here is to increase our chances of winning the second piece of the parlay. That’s where the correlation between the first half line and the game line come in. When teams cover the first half line, they have better than a 50% of covering the line for the game, right? Logic would tell us that they would, however, hard data is even better.Historical Data from the NFL and NBA
NFL
*Favorite Covers Both 1st Half and Game Line: 73.3%
*Underdog Covers Both 1st Half and Game Line: 76.7%
NBA
*Favorite Covers Both 1st Half and Game Line: 70.1%
*Underdog Covers Both 1st Half and Game Line: 69.8%
In all of these situations, if the team covers the first half line, they are much more likely to cover the game line. For example, using NFL favorites, you are given the standard 50% chance to win the first half, but then a 73.3% chance to win the game, meaning you have about a 36.6% chance of winning your parlay.
Since you only need to hit 30% of your parlays (28.6%, to be exact) to turn a profit, these bets are a no-brainer! In fact, if you can increase your chance of winning the second bet in your parlay by 7% (so up to 57%), you should make a profit over time.
Let’s look at the expected return. Let’s just say you hit 75% in the NFL and 70% in the NBA to keep it simple. So .5 *.75 = .375 means 37.5% of the time you win $250. You lose $100 62.5% of the time. Your expected profit would be 93.75 (.375 * 250) – 62.50 (.625 * 100) for $31.25 for every $100 bet. Now if the number is 70% in the NBA you get .5 * .7 = .35. 35% of the time you’d win $250 and 65% of the time you’d lose $100. (.35 * 250) – (.65 * 100) = 87.50 – 65.00 for $22.50 of profit for every $100 bet.
You can now see why sportsbooks won’t allow you to bet parlays on the first half and game of most major sporting events. If bettors were allowed to wager on these, they would soon be out of business, as you are nearly guaranteed to make a profit over time with this method.
Of course, there may be some local books out there that aren’t aware of this, so don’t be afraid to ask around and see if there’s a sucker out there willing to take these bets!Why No Same Game Parlays in Football? They Are Correlated
I took a look at the four major spread sports and ran the numbers. I was trying to find any situations where if a favorite or underdog covered and the total hit more than 57.2% of the time. Here is what I found.College Football
I went back to the last 3,732 games a favorite covered the spread. What I found was the over had a record of 1,959-1,773 (52.5%). In the 3,361 games when the team a field goal or more favorite the over was 1,793-1,568 (53.3%). If the team was laying a touchdown or more the over was 1,328-1,082 (55.1%).
The over percentages started picking up when we look at double digit favorites. The over then hit 57.4% of the time on a record of 1,090-808. When a favorite of two touchdowns or more covers the over went 838-582 (59%). A 20+ point favorite covering leads to a 547-321 record for the over (63%).Basketball Parlay Picks
When a team 28+ point favorite covers the over has hit 261-122 (68.1%) of the time. When you stretch the line out to 30 point favorites or higher the number jumps up to 216-92 (70.1%).
If a team a 35 points or more chalk and covers the over went 127-51 (71.3%). There have only been 95 favorites of 40+ points in recent years with a lined total. In those games, if the favorite covers the over was 65-29 (69.1%).
If instead of looking at the hard numbers you go with percentages
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